And apparently FL is “opening up”.
(But not South FL, which is where I live. The ‘still-closed’ region includes the counties of Palm Beach, Broward, and Miami-Dade — about 1/3 of the state’s population.)
Are we ready, as a state? I am not entirely convinced. Totally get that keeping the state (or country) shut down for the entire year is not feasible. But I don’t know — the IHME Healthdata predictive model for our state (below) uses the assumption that relaxing of social distancing on June 22 would allow for a rather safe-looking summer prediction.
County case #s via FL’s health department dashboard:
I mean, it does look like things are moving in the right direction since 4/16. Great! But it also looks like there is . . . just still a lot of coronavirus here. I am glad South Florida is staying “closed” for now. I do wonder if people from more impacted areas are going to flock to “open” areas and do touristy beachy things (as one does in FL). That will be great for commerce I am sure, but not for infection control.
I am in no hurry to go out to dinner with a mask on. Maybe some are, but it just seems so unappealing to me. If I have to think that hard about infection control . . . I’d rather not do ‘optional’ things.
Going to see patients at work in a mask = fine.
Getting groceries in a mask = okay.
Going to a party in a mask = no.
I have largely kept my opinions about open vs shut out of this space because:
a) I do not feel that I am an expert in what ‘should’ happen
b) things have been largely closed for weeks, so there hasn’t been much to think about
c) this blog is about my experience, and not politics or even health topics unless they are personally relevant to me
BUT I guess I will say now that I hope our state does not rush the south portion.
In non-COVID news – it’s almost a new month! I’d review my April goals except . . . I never set any. And that’s okay. (I have my COVID-19 goals list to fall back on, anyway).
I will be sending out my first official newsletter tomorrow! WOOHOO! If you are interested and haven’t subscribed, you can do so by filling in the info at the top right or clicking here. (When you sign up, you will also receive a link to download a free pdf available with planning processes & budget categories for those interested!).
BB Time (almost finished with 21DFX – my review to come). Then a 7 am work meeting (too early) and another telemed day. (I will say that yesterday’s tele went well and I am happy to be getting more efficient at the process.)
10 Comments
Excited for your newsletter! Have you ever tried LIFT4 on BOD? I think you’ve mentioned your body responds well to weights- you might like it. I had to get some heavier weights but I felt so strong during/after that program.
I haven’t! I would though 🙂
I think I am going to try 80DO next though. I’ve been wanting to forever and I love Autumn. I reserve the right to quit after a month if I hate it though!!!
I personally appreciate those posts! It is interesting.
Oof, it seems early to lift restrictions… I am glad things are remaining closed where you live. I understand the conundrum of wanting to protect people but wanting people to be able to go back to work and earn an income. But yikes, you could have a real mess if you lift restrictions too soon. Our order expires on 5/4 and our governor hasn’t announced what we are going to do next. Minnesota has done an awesome job of ramping up our testing, though. Mayo and the U of MN partnered to expand testing and with time, we’ll have 20k tests/day available. It’s slowly increasing, so our case numbers are increasing, but we knew all along that our case count was much higher than the numbers showed. But until the last week or so, we were only testing those who needed hospital care or lived in community living like a nursing home. Now they are setting up testing sites across the state so anyone with symptoms can get tested. And they are really ramping up their serology testing, too. I know that we don’t know much about antibodies/immunity, but serology testing is so important as we learn more about this disease. I subscribed to Emily Oster’s newsletter and today’s newsletter was an interesting, short and succinct summary about what we know about antibodies/immunity/etc.
Here’s to a new month tomorrow!
Hi, Sarah. Just chiming in to say I’m grateful for the posts.
Also hadn’t seen that predictive model and just looked at my state, which suggests possibility of relaxing social distancing mid-late May….and my governor has so far said May 15 (and I’m anticipating May 30). So, yay for my governor. Summer is still a big question mark, of course, as is everything that follows. I’d prefer delaying ‘reopening’ too, over second spike and need to shut down longterm again.
I also just finished 2 rounds for 21DF. I looked at LIIFt 4 but decided to do 4 Weeks of the Prep first – I want to do a little more muscle building than Autumn’s workouts because I find that when i do mostly cardio workouts, i don’t see much of a difference in my body (whereas more weight lifting gives me shape and definition.) I looked at 80DO but only 2 weight workouts a week, so I decided to try this first. I did #1 today and it was great! I’ll keep you posted…
I’m definitely ready to move beyond 21DF and 21DFX, but I need some heavier weights to really make progress, and they apparently can’t be had for love nor money right now. Our governor has stated May 8th as the end of the CURRENT lockdown but I suspect will be extended, and they are going to look on a county by county basis, since a lot of our state is very rural. Of course, living in the most densely populated one mile radius in the state, it is very unlikely we will be released from shelter in place for a couple months. I am glad they are not opening Miami. Lets wait and see what happens in ATL and HOU before we even think about other big cities.
I really liked both 21 Day Fix and 21 Day Fix Extreme. And will love to read your review. I feel like my body really responded to the extreme program. I liked the yoga workout on Extreme better than regular fix but disliked doing the pilates one with the band. It always feels awkward.
I have started 80Day Obsession (on day 19) and like the routine of it but it is VERY different than 21FX … much more focus on weights and reps. Only two are truly cardio. I do think it’s quite strength focused, 3 of the 6 weekly workouts are using weights, one is all band and two are cardio. I find i really need to stretch and foam roll extra since there isn’t as much variety of the workouts (ie having a dedicated yoga day and less jumping around). So i will also look forward to your thoughts on that.
Saying hi here from Australia! I really appreciate posts like these. In my state of Queensland we have had 8 new confirmed cases in the last 7 days. Our daycare centres are open but schools are closed til 23 may and we are still essentially locked down. But I’m still concerned about sending my kid to daycare. Any other data nerds out there who’d like to comment on the research? The Iceland study showed approx half transmission in the under ten year olds but so many caveats still to that result.
Greetings from Houston, TX! I’m so pissed at our Governor. Despite being one of the most populated states, we were 2nd to last in testing. Despite that sad fact, our Stay at Home order expires today, and unlike what the Governor did previously, he’s not even allowing the bigger cities/counties to enforce their own, stronger orders.
The Texas Medical Center (largest med center in the world) leadership, recommended that we all stay home longer, but the Governor ignored that. I’m fortunate to work for one of these hospitals in a non-clinical role, so my work can be done remotely but I don’t know anyone (not saying they aren’t out there) that is pumped about going to a restaurant or movies while wearing a mask.
I do agree that I don’t know what the solution is, though – especially since it’s projected to come back this Fall.